What Sarah Guo, Scott Kennedy, and others miss is that it's the sanctions that went into effect in mid-November, less than two months ago, that should have a real effect. Previous sanctions were simply annoyances. This being said, it's quite possible DeepSeek, Alibaba, and others could copy o3's secret sauce and offer it at a much more reasonable price.
However, it's not o3 that's going to get us to level 5 AI or ASI.
Expect to see a lot of great models coming out of China this year. Next year, maybe not so much. And it's next year -- and level 5 AI and ASI -- that matters. o3 will seem like a toy in comparison.
What Sarah Guo, Scott Kennedy, and others miss is that it's the sanctions that went into effect in mid-November, less than two months ago, that should have a real effect. Previous sanctions were simply annoyances. This being said, it's quite possible DeepSeek, Alibaba, and others could copy o3's secret sauce and offer it at a much more reasonable price.
However, it's not o3 that's going to get us to level 5 AI or ASI.
Expect to see a lot of great models coming out of China this year. Next year, maybe not so much. And it's next year -- and level 5 AI and ASI -- that matters. o3 will seem like a toy in comparison.